Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.180643 0.212505 0.248081 0.290714 0.340382 0.396390 0.464312
2025-10-12 0.140981 0.184362 0.237852 0.308505 0.399230 0.511672 0.661475
2025-10-19 0.115441 0.163310 0.226825 0.316954 0.441227 0.606193 0.841438
2025-10-26 0.095864 0.144753 0.213680 0.317433 0.469085 0.681992 1.002854
2025-11-02 0.078874 0.126151 0.196460 0.307917 0.479342 0.732024 1.131525
2025-11-09 0.064666 0.108992 0.178190 0.293151 0.478287 0.763404 1.233989
2025-11-16 0.056453 0.099777 0.170441 0.292909 0.498454 0.827674 1.392328
2025-11-23 0.048318 0.089321 0.159024 0.284728 0.504045 0.868459 1.516293
2025-11-30 0.043808 0.084396 0.156063 0.290101 0.532380 0.948631 1.713115
2025-12-07 0.039195 0.078556 0.150623 0.290178 0.551070 1.013748 1.890139
2025-12-14 0.034360 0.071561 0.142111 0.283394 0.556236 1.055106 2.028477
2025-12-21 0.030880 0.066695 0.136915 0.282069 0.571091 1.114925 2.205944
2025-12-28 0.029227 0.065538 0.139212 0.296552 0.619820 1.246206 2.539034
2026-01-04 0.027946 0.065021 0.142814 0.314341 0.677720 1.402261 2.939573
2026-01-11 0.025932 0.062578 0.142062 0.322914 0.717757 1.527426 3.292459
2026-01-18 0.023494 0.058774 0.137841 0.323399 0.740675 1.620196 3.588929
2026-01-25 0.020619 0.053476 0.129558 0.313709 0.740187 1.663973 3.786766
2026-02-01 0.017774 0.047783 0.119557 0.298675 0.725734 1.676019 3.916860
2026-02-08 0.016199 0.045021 0.116061 0.298429 0.745060 1.763840 4.223955
2026-02-15 0.014355 0.041258 0.109601 0.290099 0.744200 1.806027 4.431668
2026-02-22 0.013432 0.039818 0.108737 0.295570 0.777342 1.929739 4.841836
2026-03-01 0.012339 0.037730 0.105919 0.295649 0.797063 2.023827 5.191378
2026-03-08 0.011057 0.034888 0.100712 0.288741 0.798118 2.072992 5.436804